SalMar ASA (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 570.33

SALM Stock  NOK 574.00  1.50  0.26%   
SalMar ASA's future price is the expected price of SalMar ASA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SalMar ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SalMar ASA Backtesting, SalMar ASA Valuation, SalMar ASA Correlation, SalMar ASA Hype Analysis, SalMar ASA Volatility, SalMar ASA History as well as SalMar ASA Performance.
  
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SalMar ASA Target Price Odds to finish over 570.33

The tendency of SalMar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  570.33  in 90 days
 574.00 90 days 570.33 
about 24.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SalMar ASA to stay above  570.33  in 90 days from now is about 24.43 (This SalMar ASA probability density function shows the probability of SalMar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SalMar ASA price to stay between  570.33  and its current price of 574.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SalMar ASA has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SalMar ASA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SalMar ASA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SalMar ASA has an alpha of 0.0873, implying that it can generate a 0.0873 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SalMar ASA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SalMar ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SalMar ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
572.38574.00575.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
474.45476.07631.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
593.31594.93596.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
555.54574.95594.36
Details

SalMar ASA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SalMar ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SalMar ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SalMar ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SalMar ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
17.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

SalMar ASA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SalMar ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SalMar ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

SalMar ASA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SalMar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SalMar ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SalMar ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding115.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments780.8 M

SalMar ASA Technical Analysis

SalMar ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SalMar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SalMar ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing SalMar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SalMar ASA Predictive Forecast Models

SalMar ASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many SalMar ASA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SalMar ASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SalMar ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about SalMar ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SalMar ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in SalMar Stock

SalMar ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether SalMar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SalMar with respect to the benefits of owning SalMar ASA security.