Salient Mlp Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.86

SAMCX Fund  USD 12.27  0.03  0.24%   
Salient Mlp's future price is the expected price of Salient Mlp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Salient Mlp Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Salient Mlp Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Salient Mlp Correlation, Salient Mlp Hype Analysis, Salient Mlp Volatility, Salient Mlp History as well as Salient Mlp Performance.
  
Please specify Salient Mlp's target price for which you would like Salient Mlp odds to be computed.

Salient Mlp Target Price Odds to finish below 11.86

The tendency of Salient Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.86  or more in 90 days
 12.27 90 days 11.86 
about 44.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Salient Mlp to drop to $ 11.86  or more in 90 days from now is about 44.26 (This Salient Mlp Fund probability density function shows the probability of Salient Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Salient Mlp Fund price to stay between $ 11.86  and its current price of $12.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Salient Mlp has a beta of 0.0849. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Salient Mlp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Salient Mlp Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Salient Mlp Fund has an alpha of 0.0527, implying that it can generate a 0.0527 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Salient Mlp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Salient Mlp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Salient Mlp Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Salient Mlp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7612.2712.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6612.1712.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.7512.2612.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9512.1712.39
Details

Salient Mlp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Salient Mlp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Salient Mlp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Salient Mlp Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Salient Mlp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Salient Mlp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Salient Mlp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Salient Mlp Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 15.84% of its assets in cash

Salient Mlp Technical Analysis

Salient Mlp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Salient Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Salient Mlp Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Salient Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Salient Mlp Predictive Forecast Models

Salient Mlp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Salient Mlp's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Salient Mlp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Salient Mlp Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Salient Mlp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Salient Mlp Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 15.84% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Salient Mutual Fund

Salient Mlp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Salient Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Salient with respect to the benefits of owning Salient Mlp security.
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges