Saraswanti Anugerah (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 632.26
| SAMF Stock | IDR 745.00 15.00 2.05% |
Saraswanti |
Saraswanti Anugerah Target Price Odds to finish below 632.26
The tendency of Saraswanti Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 632.26 or more in 90 days |
| 745.00 | 90 days | 632.26 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saraswanti Anugerah to drop to 632.26 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur probability density function shows the probability of Saraswanti Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saraswanti Anugerah price to stay between 632.26 and its current price of 745.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur has a beta of -0.35. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Saraswanti Anugerah are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Saraswanti Anugerah Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Saraswanti Anugerah
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saraswanti Anugerah. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Saraswanti Anugerah Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saraswanti Anugerah is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saraswanti Anugerah's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saraswanti Anugerah within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 26.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Saraswanti Anugerah Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saraswanti Anugerah for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saraswanti Anugerah can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Saraswanti Anugerah generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur has accumulated about 37 B in cash with (33.52 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.66. | |
| Roughly 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Saraswanti Anugerah Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Saraswanti Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Saraswanti Anugerah's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saraswanti Anugerah's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.8 B |
Saraswanti Anugerah Technical Analysis
Saraswanti Anugerah's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saraswanti Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saraswanti Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Saraswanti Anugerah Predictive Forecast Models
Saraswanti Anugerah's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saraswanti Anugerah's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saraswanti Anugerah's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Saraswanti Anugerah
Checking the ongoing alerts about Saraswanti Anugerah for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saraswanti Anugerah help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Saraswanti Anugerah generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur has accumulated about 37 B in cash with (33.52 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.66. | |
| Roughly 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Saraswanti Stock
Saraswanti Anugerah financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saraswanti Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saraswanti with respect to the benefits of owning Saraswanti Anugerah security.