Samhi Hotels (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 158.14
| SAMHI Stock | 183.03 1.11 0.61% |
Samhi |
Samhi Hotels Target Price Odds to finish below 158.14
The tendency of Samhi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 158.14 or more in 90 days |
| 183.03 | 90 days | 158.14 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Samhi Hotels to drop to 158.14 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Samhi Hotels Limited probability density function shows the probability of Samhi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Samhi Hotels Limited price to stay between 158.14 and its current price of 183.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Samhi Hotels Limited has a beta of -0.0601. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Samhi Hotels are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Samhi Hotels Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Samhi Hotels Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Samhi Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Samhi Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samhi Hotels Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Samhi Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Samhi Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Samhi Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Samhi Hotels Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Samhi Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Samhi Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Samhi Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Samhi Hotels Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Samhi Hotels Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.44 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Hotels join the fray as IPO frenzy continues Stock Market News - Mint |
Samhi Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Samhi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Samhi Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Samhi Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 159.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Samhi Hotels Technical Analysis
Samhi Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Samhi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Samhi Hotels Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Samhi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Samhi Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Samhi Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Samhi Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Samhi Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Samhi Hotels Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Samhi Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Samhi Hotels Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Samhi Hotels Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.44 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Hotels join the fray as IPO frenzy continues Stock Market News - Mint |
Other Information on Investing in Samhi Stock
Samhi Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Samhi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Samhi with respect to the benefits of owning Samhi Hotels security.