Sw Seed Company Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.89
| SANW Stock | USD 7.05 0.49 6.50% |
SANW |
SW Seed Target Price Odds to finish below 6.89
The tendency of SANW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 6.89 or more in 90 days |
| 7.05 | 90 days | 6.89 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SW Seed to drop to $ 6.89 or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This SW Seed Company probability density function shows the probability of SANW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SW Seed Company price to stay between $ 6.89 and its current price of $7.05 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.2 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SW Seed will likely underperform. Additionally SW Seed Company has an alpha of 0.6484, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SW Seed Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SW Seed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SW Seed Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SW Seed Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SW Seed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SW Seed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SW Seed Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SW Seed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
SW Seed Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SW Seed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SW Seed Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SW Seed Company is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| SW Seed Company appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| SW Seed Company has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 60.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.54 M. | |
| SW Seed Company currently holds about 2.06 M in cash with (5.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: SW Seed Co divests Australian subsidiary assets |
SW Seed Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SANW Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SW Seed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SW Seed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 294 K |
SW Seed Technical Analysis
SW Seed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SANW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SW Seed Company. In general, you should focus on analyzing SANW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SW Seed Predictive Forecast Models
SW Seed's time-series forecasting models is one of many SW Seed's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SW Seed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SW Seed Company
Checking the ongoing alerts about SW Seed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SW Seed Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SW Seed Company is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| SW Seed Company appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| SW Seed Company has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 60.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.54 M. | |
| SW Seed Company currently holds about 2.06 M in cash with (5.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: SW Seed Co divests Australian subsidiary assets |
Additional Tools for SANW Stock Analysis
When running SW Seed's price analysis, check to measure SW Seed's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SW Seed is operating at the current time. Most of SW Seed's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SW Seed's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SW Seed's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SW Seed to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.