Srisawad Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 40.5
| SAWAD-R Stock | THB 40.00 3.78 8.63% |
Srisawad |
Srisawad Public Target Price Odds to finish below 40.5
The tendency of Srisawad Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 40.50 after 90 days |
| 40.00 | 90 days | 40.50 | about 41.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Srisawad Public to stay under 40.50 after 90 days from now is about 41.14 (This Srisawad Public probability density function shows the probability of Srisawad Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Srisawad Public price to stay between its current price of 40.00 and 40.50 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Srisawad Public has a beta of -19.15. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Srisawad Public are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Srisawad Public is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Srisawad Public has an alpha of 30.8283, implying that it can generate a 30.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Srisawad Public Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Srisawad Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Srisawad Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Srisawad Public's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Srisawad Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Srisawad Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Srisawad Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Srisawad Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Srisawad Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 30.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -19.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Srisawad Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Srisawad Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Srisawad Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Srisawad Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Srisawad Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Srisawad Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Srisawad Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Srisawad Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Srisawad Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Srisawad Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.5 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3.3 B |
Srisawad Public Technical Analysis
Srisawad Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Srisawad Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Srisawad Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Srisawad Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Srisawad Public Predictive Forecast Models
Srisawad Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Srisawad Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Srisawad Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Srisawad Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Srisawad Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Srisawad Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Srisawad Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Srisawad Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Srisawad Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Additional Tools for Srisawad Stock Analysis
When running Srisawad Public's price analysis, check to measure Srisawad Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Srisawad Public is operating at the current time. Most of Srisawad Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Srisawad Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Srisawad Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Srisawad Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.