Saxlund Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.74

SAXG Stock  SEK 9.99  0.01  0.10%   
Saxlund Group's future price is the expected price of Saxlund Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Saxlund Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Saxlund Group Backtesting, Saxlund Group Valuation, Saxlund Group Correlation, Saxlund Group Hype Analysis, Saxlund Group Volatility, Saxlund Group History as well as Saxlund Group Performance.
  
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Saxlund Group Target Price Odds to finish below 3.74

The tendency of Saxlund Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 3.74  or more in 90 days
 9.99 90 days 3.74 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saxlund Group to drop to kr 3.74  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Saxlund Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Saxlund Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saxlund Group AB price to stay between kr 3.74  and its current price of kr9.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saxlund Group has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Saxlund Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Saxlund Group AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Saxlund Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Saxlund Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Saxlund Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saxlund Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.9010.0016.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.388.4814.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.1010.2016.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.119.0010.90
Details

Saxlund Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saxlund Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saxlund Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saxlund Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saxlund Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Saxlund Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saxlund Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saxlund Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saxlund Group AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Saxlund Group AB has accumulated about 7.29 M in cash with (14.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Saxlund Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Saxlund Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Saxlund Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saxlund Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding400.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.3 M

Saxlund Group Technical Analysis

Saxlund Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saxlund Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saxlund Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saxlund Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Saxlund Group Predictive Forecast Models

Saxlund Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saxlund Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saxlund Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Saxlund Group AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Saxlund Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saxlund Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saxlund Group AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Saxlund Group AB has accumulated about 7.29 M in cash with (14.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Saxlund Stock Analysis

When running Saxlund Group's price analysis, check to measure Saxlund Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saxlund Group is operating at the current time. Most of Saxlund Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saxlund Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saxlund Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saxlund Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.