Safe Bulkers Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.65
| SB Stock | USD 3.94 0.02 0.51% |
Safe |
Safe Bulkers Target Price Odds to finish below 2.65
The tendency of Safe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.65 or more in 90 days |
| 3.94 | 90 days | 2.65 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Safe Bulkers to drop to $ 2.65 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Safe Bulkers probability density function shows the probability of Safe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Safe Bulkers price to stay between $ 2.65 and its current price of $3.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.23 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Safe Bulkers has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Safe Bulkers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Safe Bulkers will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Safe Bulkers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Safe Bulkers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Safe Bulkers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safe Bulkers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Safe Bulkers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Safe Bulkers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Safe Bulkers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Safe Bulkers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Safe Bulkers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Safe Bulkers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Safe Bulkers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Safe Bulkers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Safe Bulkers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: 3 US Penny Stocks With Market Caps Above 40M |
Safe Bulkers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Safe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Safe Bulkers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Safe Bulkers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 87.9 M |
Safe Bulkers Technical Analysis
Safe Bulkers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Safe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Safe Bulkers. In general, you should focus on analyzing Safe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Safe Bulkers Predictive Forecast Models
Safe Bulkers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Safe Bulkers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Safe Bulkers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Safe Bulkers
Checking the ongoing alerts about Safe Bulkers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Safe Bulkers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Safe Bulkers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: 3 US Penny Stocks With Market Caps Above 40M |
Check out Safe Bulkers Backtesting, Safe Bulkers Valuation, Safe Bulkers Correlation, Safe Bulkers Hype Analysis, Safe Bulkers Volatility, Safe Bulkers History as well as Safe Bulkers Performance. For information on how to trade Safe Stock refer to our How to Trade Safe Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Safe Bulkers. If investors know Safe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Safe Bulkers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.853 | Dividend Share 0.05 | Earnings Share 0.9 | Revenue Per Share 2.924 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.174 |
The market value of Safe Bulkers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Safe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Safe Bulkers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Safe Bulkers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Safe Bulkers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Safe Bulkers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Safe Bulkers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Safe Bulkers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Safe Bulkers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.