Splash Beverage Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0
| SBEV Stock | USD 0.20 0.01 4.76% |
Splash |
Splash Beverage Target Price Odds to finish below 0
The tendency of Splash Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.00 or more in 90 days |
| 0.20 | 90 days | 0.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Splash Beverage to drop to $ 0.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Splash Beverage Group probability density function shows the probability of Splash Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Splash Beverage Group price to stay between $ 0.00 and its current price of $0.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.61 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Splash Beverage will likely underperform. Additionally Splash Beverage Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Splash Beverage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Splash Beverage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Splash Beverage Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Splash Beverage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Splash Beverage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Splash Beverage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Splash Beverage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Splash Beverage Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Splash Beverage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.91 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Splash Beverage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Splash Beverage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Splash Beverage Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Splash Beverage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Splash Beverage has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Splash Beverage has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Splash Beverage has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 18.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.58 M. | |
| Splash Beverage Group currently holds about 2.6 M in cash with (10.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Splash Beverage has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Robert Nistico of 530000 shares of Splash Beverage at 2.6 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Splash Beverage Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Splash Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Splash Beverage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Splash Beverage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 380 K |
Splash Beverage Technical Analysis
Splash Beverage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Splash Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Splash Beverage Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Splash Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Splash Beverage Predictive Forecast Models
Splash Beverage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Splash Beverage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Splash Beverage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Splash Beverage Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Splash Beverage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Splash Beverage Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Splash Beverage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Splash Beverage has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Splash Beverage has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Splash Beverage has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 18.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.58 M. | |
| Splash Beverage Group currently holds about 2.6 M in cash with (10.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Splash Beverage has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Robert Nistico of 530000 shares of Splash Beverage at 2.6 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Splash Stock Analysis
When running Splash Beverage's price analysis, check to measure Splash Beverage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Splash Beverage is operating at the current time. Most of Splash Beverage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Splash Beverage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Splash Beverage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Splash Beverage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.