Scandinavian Brake (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.75

SBS Stock  DKK 11.95  0.10  0.83%   
Scandinavian Brake's future price is the expected price of Scandinavian Brake instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Scandinavian Brake Systems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Scandinavian Brake Backtesting, Scandinavian Brake Valuation, Scandinavian Brake Correlation, Scandinavian Brake Hype Analysis, Scandinavian Brake Volatility, Scandinavian Brake History as well as Scandinavian Brake Performance.
  
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Scandinavian Brake Target Price Odds to finish below 11.75

The tendency of Scandinavian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 11.75  or more in 90 days
 11.95 90 days 11.75 
about 44.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scandinavian Brake to drop to kr 11.75  or more in 90 days from now is about 44.9 (This Scandinavian Brake Systems probability density function shows the probability of Scandinavian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Scandinavian Brake price to stay between kr 11.75  and its current price of kr11.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Scandinavian Brake Systems has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Scandinavian Brake are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Scandinavian Brake Systems is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Scandinavian Brake Systems has an alpha of 0.0469, implying that it can generate a 0.0469 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Scandinavian Brake Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Scandinavian Brake

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scandinavian Brake. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6711.9513.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7510.0313.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7512.0313.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4511.7712.09
Details

Scandinavian Brake Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scandinavian Brake is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scandinavian Brake's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scandinavian Brake Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scandinavian Brake within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Scandinavian Brake Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scandinavian Brake for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scandinavian Brake can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Scandinavian Brake Systems has accumulated 163.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.87, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Scandinavian Brake has a current ratio of 0.07, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Scandinavian Brake until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Scandinavian Brake's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Scandinavian Brake sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Scandinavian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Scandinavian Brake's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 68.0% of Scandinavian Brake outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Scandinavian Brake Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Scandinavian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Scandinavian Brake's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scandinavian Brake's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.2 M

Scandinavian Brake Technical Analysis

Scandinavian Brake's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scandinavian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scandinavian Brake Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scandinavian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Scandinavian Brake Predictive Forecast Models

Scandinavian Brake's time-series forecasting models is one of many Scandinavian Brake's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scandinavian Brake's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Scandinavian Brake

Checking the ongoing alerts about Scandinavian Brake for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scandinavian Brake help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Scandinavian Brake Systems has accumulated 163.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.87, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Scandinavian Brake has a current ratio of 0.07, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Scandinavian Brake until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Scandinavian Brake's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Scandinavian Brake sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Scandinavian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Scandinavian Brake's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 68.0% of Scandinavian Brake outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Scandinavian Stock

Scandinavian Brake financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scandinavian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scandinavian with respect to the benefits of owning Scandinavian Brake security.