Cornish Metals Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0576

SBWFF Stock  USD 0.06  0.04  40.00%   
Cornish Metals' future price is the expected price of Cornish Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cornish Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cornish Metals Backtesting, Cornish Metals Valuation, Cornish Metals Correlation, Cornish Metals Hype Analysis, Cornish Metals Volatility, Cornish Metals History as well as Cornish Metals Performance.
  
Please specify Cornish Metals' target price for which you would like Cornish Metals odds to be computed.

Cornish Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0576

The tendency of Cornish Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.06  in 90 days
 0.06 90 days 0.06 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cornish Metals to stay above $ 0.06  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Cornish Metals probability density function shows the probability of Cornish Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cornish Metals price to stay between $ 0.06  and its current price of $0.06 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cornish Metals has a beta of -1.91. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Cornish Metals are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Cornish Metals is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Cornish Metals has an alpha of 0.5075, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cornish Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cornish Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cornish Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0612.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0612.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00090.0512.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.090.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cornish Metals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cornish Metals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cornish Metals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cornish Metals.

Cornish Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cornish Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cornish Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cornish Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cornish Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.91
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Cornish Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cornish Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cornish Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cornish Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cornish Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cornish Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Cornish Metals has accumulated about 64 M in cash with (3.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Cornish Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cornish Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cornish Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cornish Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding285.9 M

Cornish Metals Technical Analysis

Cornish Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cornish Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cornish Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cornish Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cornish Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Cornish Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cornish Metals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cornish Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cornish Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cornish Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cornish Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cornish Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cornish Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cornish Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Cornish Metals has accumulated about 64 M in cash with (3.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Cornish Pink Sheet

Cornish Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cornish Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cornish with respect to the benefits of owning Cornish Metals security.