Sachem Capital Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.17
| SCCF Stock | USD 21.20 0.16 0.76% |
Sachem |
Sachem Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 21.17
The tendency of Sachem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 21.17 in 90 days |
| 21.20 | 90 days | 21.17 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sachem Capital to stay above $ 21.17 in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Sachem Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of Sachem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sachem Capital Corp price to stay between $ 21.17 and its current price of $21.2 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sachem Capital Corp has a beta of -0.0432. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sachem Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sachem Capital Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sachem Capital Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sachem Capital Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Sachem Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sachem Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sachem Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sachem Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sachem Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sachem Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sachem Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sachem Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Sachem Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sachem Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sachem Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sachem Capital Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sachem Capital Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Sachem Capital stock hits 52-week low at 1.72 amid market challenges - Investing.com |
Sachem Capital Technical Analysis
Sachem Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sachem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sachem Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sachem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sachem Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Sachem Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sachem Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sachem Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sachem Capital Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sachem Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sachem Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sachem Capital Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sachem Capital Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Sachem Capital stock hits 52-week low at 1.72 amid market challenges - Investing.com |
Check out Sachem Capital Backtesting, Sachem Capital Valuation, Sachem Capital Correlation, Sachem Capital Hype Analysis, Sachem Capital Volatility, Sachem Capital History as well as Sachem Capital Performance. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sachem Capital. If investors know Sachem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sachem Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Sachem Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sachem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sachem Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sachem Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sachem Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sachem Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sachem Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sachem Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sachem Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.