Qs Moderate Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 17.76
| SCGCX Fund | USD 18.44 0.10 0.55% |
SCGCX |
Qs Moderate Target Price Odds to finish below 17.76
The tendency of SCGCX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 17.76 or more in 90 days |
| 18.44 | 90 days | 17.76 | about 10.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qs Moderate to drop to $ 17.76 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.91 (This Qs Moderate Growth probability density function shows the probability of SCGCX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qs Moderate Growth price to stay between $ 17.76 and its current price of $18.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Qs Moderate has a beta of 0.62. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Qs Moderate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Qs Moderate Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Qs Moderate Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Qs Moderate Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Qs Moderate
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qs Moderate Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qs Moderate's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Qs Moderate Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qs Moderate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qs Moderate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qs Moderate Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qs Moderate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Qs Moderate Technical Analysis
Qs Moderate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SCGCX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qs Moderate Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing SCGCX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qs Moderate Predictive Forecast Models
Qs Moderate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qs Moderate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qs Moderate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Qs Moderate in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Qs Moderate's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Qs Moderate options trading.
Other Information on Investing in SCGCX Mutual Fund
Qs Moderate financial ratios help investors to determine whether SCGCX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SCGCX with respect to the benefits of owning Qs Moderate security.
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