Socit Gnrale Socit Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 21.81
| SCGLF Stock | USD 26.06 1.54 5.58% |
Société |
Société Générale Target Price Odds to finish over 21.81
The tendency of Société Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 21.81 in 90 days |
| 26.06 | 90 days | 21.81 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Société Générale to stay above $ 21.81 in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Socit Gnrale Socit probability density function shows the probability of Société Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Socit Gnrale Socit price to stay between $ 21.81 and its current price of $26.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Société Générale has a beta of 0.23. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Société Générale average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Socit Gnrale Socit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Socit Gnrale Socit has an alpha of 0.1606, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Société Générale Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Société Générale
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Socit Gnrale Socit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Société Générale Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Société Générale is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Société Générale's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Socit Gnrale Socit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Société Générale within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Société Générale Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Société Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Société Générale's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Société Générale's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 793.8 M |
Société Générale Technical Analysis
Société Générale's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Société Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Socit Gnrale Socit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Société Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Société Générale Predictive Forecast Models
Société Générale's time-series forecasting models is one of many Société Générale's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Société Générale's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Société Générale in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Société Générale's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Société Générale options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Société Pink Sheet
Société Générale financial ratios help investors to determine whether Société Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Société with respect to the benefits of owning Société Générale security.