Scientific Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.41

SCGY Stock  USD 1.72  0.02  1.18%   
Scientific Energy's future price is the expected price of Scientific Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Scientific Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Scientific Energy Backtesting, Scientific Energy Valuation, Scientific Energy Correlation, Scientific Energy Hype Analysis, Scientific Energy Volatility, Scientific Energy History as well as Scientific Energy Performance.
  
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Scientific Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 1.41

The tendency of Scientific Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 1.41  in 90 days
 1.72 90 days 1.41 
about 65.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scientific Energy to stay above $ 1.41  in 90 days from now is about 65.54 (This Scientific Energy probability density function shows the probability of Scientific Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Scientific Energy price to stay between $ 1.41  and its current price of $1.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.25 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Scientific Energy has a beta of -6.91. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Scientific Energy are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Scientific Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Scientific Energy has an alpha of 3.2808, implying that it can generate a 3.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Scientific Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Scientific Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scientific Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.7224.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.5623.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.2223.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.062.283.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Scientific Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Scientific Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Scientific Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Scientific Energy.

Scientific Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scientific Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scientific Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scientific Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scientific Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-6.91
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Scientific Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scientific Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scientific Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Scientific Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Scientific Energy may become a speculative penny stock
Scientific Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Scientific Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Scientific Energy currently holds 481.36 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Scientific Energy has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Scientific Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Scientific Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Scientific Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Scientific to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Scientific Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 10.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (967.68 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.39 M.
Scientific Energy currently holds about 5.17 M in cash with (5.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 47.0% of Scientific Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Scientific Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Scientific Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Scientific Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scientific Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4920.38

Scientific Energy Technical Analysis

Scientific Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scientific Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scientific Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scientific Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Scientific Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Scientific Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Scientific Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scientific Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Scientific Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Scientific Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scientific Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Scientific Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Scientific Energy may become a speculative penny stock
Scientific Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Scientific Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Scientific Energy currently holds 481.36 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Scientific Energy has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Scientific Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Scientific Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Scientific Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Scientific to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Scientific Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 10.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (967.68 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.39 M.
Scientific Energy currently holds about 5.17 M in cash with (5.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 47.0% of Scientific Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Scientific Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Scientific Energy's price analysis, check to measure Scientific Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Scientific Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Scientific Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Scientific Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Scientific Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Scientific Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.