Schlumberger (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.25

SCL Stock  EUR 41.40  0.20  0.48%   
Schlumberger's future price is the expected price of Schlumberger instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Schlumberger Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Schlumberger Backtesting, Schlumberger Valuation, Schlumberger Correlation, Schlumberger Hype Analysis, Schlumberger Volatility, Schlumberger History as well as Schlumberger Performance.
  
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Schlumberger Target Price Odds to finish below 43.25

The tendency of Schlumberger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 43.25  after 90 days
 41.40 90 days 43.25 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Schlumberger to stay under € 43.25  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Schlumberger Limited probability density function shows the probability of Schlumberger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Schlumberger Limited price to stay between its current price of € 41.40  and € 43.25  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Schlumberger will likely underperform. Additionally Schlumberger Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Schlumberger Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Schlumberger

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schlumberger Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.1041.4043.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.9140.2142.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.3439.6341.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
40.2641.5342.81
Details

Schlumberger Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Schlumberger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Schlumberger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Schlumberger Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Schlumberger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Schlumberger Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Schlumberger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Schlumberger Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Schlumberger Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Schlumberger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Schlumberger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Schlumberger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B

Schlumberger Technical Analysis

Schlumberger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Schlumberger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Schlumberger Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Schlumberger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Schlumberger Predictive Forecast Models

Schlumberger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Schlumberger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Schlumberger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Schlumberger Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Schlumberger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Schlumberger Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Schlumberger Stock

Schlumberger financial ratios help investors to determine whether Schlumberger Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Schlumberger with respect to the benefits of owning Schlumberger security.