Scancell Hldgs (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.75

SCLP Stock   11.00  0.25  2.33%   
Scancell Hldgs' future price is the expected price of Scancell Hldgs instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Scancell Hldgs Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Scancell Hldgs Backtesting, Scancell Hldgs Valuation, Scancell Hldgs Correlation, Scancell Hldgs Hype Analysis, Scancell Hldgs Volatility, Scancell Hldgs History as well as Scancell Hldgs Performance.
  
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Scancell Hldgs Target Price Odds to finish below 10.75

The tendency of Scancell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  10.75  or more in 90 days
 11.00 90 days 10.75 
about 1.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scancell Hldgs to drop to  10.75  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.98 (This Scancell Hldgs Plc probability density function shows the probability of Scancell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Scancell Hldgs Plc price to stay between  10.75  and its current price of 11.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Scancell Hldgs Plc has a beta of -0.33. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Scancell Hldgs are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Scancell Hldgs Plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Scancell Hldgs Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Scancell Hldgs Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.156.878.179.4710.7711.9813.2814.5815.9717.27Current PriceTargetScancell Hldgs Mean 0.050.100.150.200.250.30
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Scancell Hldgs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scancell Hldgs Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.1210.6914.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.6510.2213.79
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.57-0.29-0.14
Details

Scancell Hldgs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scancell Hldgs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scancell Hldgs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scancell Hldgs Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scancell Hldgs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Scancell Hldgs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scancell Hldgs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scancell Hldgs Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Scancell Hldgs Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Scancell Hldgs Plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Scancell Hldgs Plc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (9.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Scancell Hldgs generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Scancell Trading 4.5 percent Higher - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat

Scancell Hldgs Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Scancell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Scancell Hldgs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scancell Hldgs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding862.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.8 M

Scancell Hldgs Technical Analysis

Scancell Hldgs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scancell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scancell Hldgs Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scancell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Scancell Hldgs Predictive Forecast Models

Scancell Hldgs' time-series forecasting models is one of many Scancell Hldgs' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scancell Hldgs' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Scancell Hldgs Plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Scancell Hldgs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scancell Hldgs Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Scancell Hldgs Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Scancell Hldgs Plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Scancell Hldgs Plc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (9.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Scancell Hldgs generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Scancell Trading 4.5 percent Higher - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Scancell Stock Analysis

When running Scancell Hldgs' price analysis, check to measure Scancell Hldgs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Scancell Hldgs is operating at the current time. Most of Scancell Hldgs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Scancell Hldgs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Scancell Hldgs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Scancell Hldgs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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