Searchlight Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.004424
| SCLTF Stock | USD 0 0.0008 15.09% |
Searchlight |
Searchlight Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.004424
The tendency of Searchlight Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0 in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 0 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Searchlight Resources to stay above $ 0 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Searchlight Resources probability density function shows the probability of Searchlight Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Searchlight Resources price to stay between $ 0 and its current price of $0.0045 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 5.21 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Searchlight Resources will likely underperform. Additionally Searchlight Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Searchlight Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Searchlight Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Searchlight Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Searchlight Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Searchlight Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Searchlight Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Searchlight Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Searchlight Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Searchlight Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 5.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Searchlight Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Searchlight Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Searchlight Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Searchlight Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Searchlight Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Searchlight Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Searchlight Resources has accumulated about 1.73 M in cash with (1.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Searchlight Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Searchlight Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Searchlight Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Searchlight Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.1 M |
Searchlight Resources Technical Analysis
Searchlight Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Searchlight Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Searchlight Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Searchlight Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Searchlight Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Searchlight Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Searchlight Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Searchlight Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Searchlight Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Searchlight Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Searchlight Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Searchlight Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Searchlight Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Searchlight Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Searchlight Resources has accumulated about 1.73 M in cash with (1.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in Searchlight Pink Sheet
Searchlight Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Searchlight Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Searchlight with respect to the benefits of owning Searchlight Resources security.