Stellus Capital Investment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.90
| SCM Stock | USD 13.86 0.04 0.29% |
Stellus |
Stellus Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 11.90
The tendency of Stellus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.90 or more in 90 days |
| 13.86 | 90 days | 11.90 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stellus Capital to drop to $ 11.90 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Stellus Capital Investment probability density function shows the probability of Stellus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stellus Capital Inve price to stay between $ 11.90 and its current price of $13.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.59 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Stellus Capital has a beta of 0.17. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stellus Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stellus Capital Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stellus Capital Investment has an alpha of 0.0289, implying that it can generate a 0.0289 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Stellus Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stellus Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stellus Capital Inve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stellus Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stellus Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stellus Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stellus Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stellus Capital Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stellus Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Stellus Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stellus Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stellus Capital Inve can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stellus Capital Inve is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Stellus Capital Investment has about 48.04 M in cash with (17.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.35. | |
| Stellus Capital Inve has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Stellus Capital paid $ 0.1333 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Stellus Capital Investment Co. Plans 0.13 Monthly Dividend |
Stellus Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stellus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stellus Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stellus Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.1 M |
Stellus Capital Technical Analysis
Stellus Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stellus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stellus Capital Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stellus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stellus Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Stellus Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stellus Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stellus Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stellus Capital Inve
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stellus Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stellus Capital Inve help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stellus Capital Inve is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Stellus Capital Investment has about 48.04 M in cash with (17.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.35. | |
| Stellus Capital Inve has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Stellus Capital paid $ 0.1333 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Stellus Capital Investment Co. Plans 0.13 Monthly Dividend |
Check out Stellus Capital Backtesting, Stellus Capital Valuation, Stellus Capital Correlation, Stellus Capital Hype Analysis, Stellus Capital Volatility, Stellus Capital History as well as Stellus Capital Performance. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stellus Capital. If investors know Stellus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stellus Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.976 | Dividend Share 1.599 | Earnings Share 2 | Revenue Per Share 4.314 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Stellus Capital Inve is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stellus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stellus Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stellus Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stellus Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stellus Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stellus Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stellus Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stellus Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.