Steelcase Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.12

SCS Stock  USD 13.27  0.23  1.76%   
Steelcase's future price is the expected price of Steelcase instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Steelcase performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Steelcase Backtesting, Steelcase Valuation, Steelcase Correlation, Steelcase Hype Analysis, Steelcase Volatility, Steelcase History as well as Steelcase Performance.
For more information on how to buy Steelcase Stock please use our How to Invest in Steelcase guide.
  
At this time, Steelcase's Price Fair Value is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify Steelcase's target price for which you would like Steelcase odds to be computed.

Steelcase Target Price Odds to finish below 11.12

The tendency of Steelcase Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.12  or more in 90 days
 13.27 90 days 11.12 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Steelcase to drop to $ 11.12  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Steelcase probability density function shows the probability of Steelcase Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Steelcase price to stay between $ 11.12  and its current price of $13.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.24 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Steelcase will likely underperform. Additionally Steelcase has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Steelcase Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Steelcase

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Steelcase. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Steelcase's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1213.0414.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.1213.0414.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0212.9414.85
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.9010.8812.08
Details

Steelcase Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Steelcase is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Steelcase's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Steelcase, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Steelcase within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Steelcase Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Steelcase for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Steelcase can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Steelcase generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of October 2024 Steelcase paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from tomsguide.com: Which Steelcase office chair should you buy Ill break down the most popular models

Steelcase Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Steelcase Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Steelcase's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Steelcase's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments318.6 M

Steelcase Technical Analysis

Steelcase's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Steelcase Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Steelcase. In general, you should focus on analyzing Steelcase Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Steelcase Predictive Forecast Models

Steelcase's time-series forecasting models is one of many Steelcase's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Steelcase's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Steelcase

Checking the ongoing alerts about Steelcase for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Steelcase help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Steelcase generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of October 2024 Steelcase paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from tomsguide.com: Which Steelcase office chair should you buy Ill break down the most popular models

Additional Tools for Steelcase Stock Analysis

When running Steelcase's price analysis, check to measure Steelcase's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Steelcase is operating at the current time. Most of Steelcase's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Steelcase's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Steelcase's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Steelcase to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.