Scotch Creek Ventures Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0136
| SCVFF Stock | USD 0.02 0.02 47.09% |
Scotch |
Scotch Creek Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0136
The tendency of Scotch Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scotch Creek to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Scotch Creek Ventures probability density function shows the probability of Scotch Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Scotch Creek Ventures price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Scotch Creek Ventures has a beta of -2.05. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Scotch Creek Ventures are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Scotch Creek is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Scotch Creek Ventures has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Scotch Creek Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Scotch Creek
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scotch Creek Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Scotch Creek Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scotch Creek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scotch Creek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scotch Creek Ventures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scotch Creek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Scotch Creek Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scotch Creek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scotch Creek Ventures can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Scotch Creek generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Scotch Creek has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Scotch Creek has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Scotch Creek has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Scotch Creek Ventures has accumulated about 3.61 M in cash with (2.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Scotch Creek Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Scotch Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Scotch Creek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scotch Creek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.6 M |
Scotch Creek Technical Analysis
Scotch Creek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scotch Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scotch Creek Ventures. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scotch Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Scotch Creek Predictive Forecast Models
Scotch Creek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Scotch Creek's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scotch Creek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Scotch Creek Ventures
Checking the ongoing alerts about Scotch Creek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scotch Creek Ventures help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Scotch Creek generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Scotch Creek has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Scotch Creek has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Scotch Creek has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Scotch Creek Ventures has accumulated about 3.61 M in cash with (2.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in Scotch Pink Sheet
Scotch Creek financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scotch Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scotch with respect to the benefits of owning Scotch Creek security.