Sacyr SA (Spain) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.98
| SCYR Stock | EUR 3.09 0.03 0.98% |
Sacyr |
Sacyr SA Target Price Odds to finish over 6.98
The tendency of Sacyr Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 6.98 or more in 90 days |
| 3.09 | 90 days | 6.98 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sacyr SA to move over € 6.98 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Sacyr SA probability density function shows the probability of Sacyr Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sacyr SA price to stay between its current price of € 3.09 and € 6.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sacyr SA has a beta of -0.32. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sacyr SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sacyr SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sacyr SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sacyr SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sacyr SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sacyr SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sacyr SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sacyr SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sacyr SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sacyr SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sacyr SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0038 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Sacyr SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sacyr SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sacyr SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sacyr SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sacyr SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Sacyr SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sacyr SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sacyr Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sacyr SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sacyr SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 672.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Sacyr SA Technical Analysis
Sacyr SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sacyr Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sacyr SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sacyr Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sacyr SA Predictive Forecast Models
Sacyr SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sacyr SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sacyr SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sacyr SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sacyr SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sacyr SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sacyr SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sacyr SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Sacyr SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sacyr Stock
Sacyr SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sacyr Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sacyr with respect to the benefits of owning Sacyr SA security.