SEALED AIR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.8
| SDA Stock | EUR 35.00 0.80 2.34% |
SEALED |
SEALED AIR Target Price Odds to finish below 31.8
The tendency of SEALED Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 31.80 or more in 90 days |
| 35.00 | 90 days | 31.80 | about 32.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SEALED AIR to drop to € 31.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 32.57 (This SEALED AIR probability density function shows the probability of SEALED Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SEALED AIR price to stay between € 31.80 and its current price of €35.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SEALED AIR has a beta of 0.78. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SEALED AIR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SEALED AIR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SEALED AIR has an alpha of 0.1782, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SEALED AIR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SEALED AIR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SEALED AIR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SEALED AIR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SEALED AIR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SEALED AIR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SEALED AIR , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SEALED AIR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
SEALED AIR Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SEALED Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SEALED AIR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SEALED AIR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 144.7 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 432.6 M |
SEALED AIR Technical Analysis
SEALED AIR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SEALED Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SEALED AIR . In general, you should focus on analyzing SEALED Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SEALED AIR Predictive Forecast Models
SEALED AIR's time-series forecasting models is one of many SEALED AIR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SEALED AIR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards SEALED AIR in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, SEALED AIR's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from SEALED AIR options trading.
Additional Tools for SEALED Stock Analysis
When running SEALED AIR's price analysis, check to measure SEALED AIR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SEALED AIR is operating at the current time. Most of SEALED AIR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SEALED AIR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SEALED AIR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SEALED AIR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.