SeaChange International Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.86
| SEACDelisted Stock | USD 7.86 0.06 0.76% |
SeaChange |
SeaChange International Target Price Odds to finish over 7.86
The tendency of SeaChange Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 7.86 | 90 days | 7.86 | about 91.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SeaChange International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.86 (This SeaChange International probability density function shows the probability of SeaChange Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SeaChange International has a beta of 0.43. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SeaChange International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SeaChange International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SeaChange International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SeaChange International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SeaChange International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SeaChange International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SeaChange International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SeaChange International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SeaChange International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SeaChange International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SeaChange International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
SeaChange International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SeaChange International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SeaChange International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SeaChange International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| SeaChange International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 32.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.35 M. | |
| SeaChange International currently holds about 14.34 M in cash with (2.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
SeaChange International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SeaChange Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SeaChange International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SeaChange International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.7 M |
SeaChange International Technical Analysis
SeaChange International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SeaChange Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SeaChange International. In general, you should focus on analyzing SeaChange Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SeaChange International Predictive Forecast Models
SeaChange International's time-series forecasting models is one of many SeaChange International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SeaChange International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SeaChange International
Checking the ongoing alerts about SeaChange International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SeaChange International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SeaChange International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| SeaChange International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 32.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.35 M. | |
| SeaChange International currently holds about 14.34 M in cash with (2.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Other Consideration for investing in SeaChange Stock
If you are still planning to invest in SeaChange International check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the SeaChange International's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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