Steward Select Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 22.15
| SEACX Fund | USD 22.15 0.01 0.05% |
Steward |
Steward Select Target Price Odds to finish below 22.15
The tendency of Steward Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 22.15 | 90 days | 22.15 | about 6.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Steward Select to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 6.32 (This Steward Select Bond probability density function shows the probability of Steward Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Steward Select has a beta of 0.0189. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Steward Select average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Steward Select Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Steward Select Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Steward Select Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Steward Select
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Steward Select Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Steward Select's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Steward Select Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Steward Select is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Steward Select's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Steward Select Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Steward Select within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.66 |
Steward Select Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Steward Select for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Steward Select Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Steward Select Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Steward Select Bond generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 8.35% of its assets in cash |
Steward Select Technical Analysis
Steward Select's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Steward Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Steward Select Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Steward Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Steward Select Predictive Forecast Models
Steward Select's time-series forecasting models is one of many Steward Select's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Steward Select's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Steward Select Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about Steward Select for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Steward Select Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Steward Select Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Steward Select Bond generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 8.35% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Steward Mutual Fund
Steward Select financial ratios help investors to determine whether Steward Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Steward with respect to the benefits of owning Steward Select security.
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios |