Seafco Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.93
| SEAFCO Stock | THB 1.99 0.01 0.50% |
Seafco |
Seafco Public Target Price Odds to finish over 1.93
The tendency of Seafco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1.93 in 90 days |
| 1.99 | 90 days | 1.93 | about 80.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seafco Public to stay above 1.93 in 90 days from now is about 80.19 (This Seafco Public probability density function shows the probability of Seafco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seafco Public price to stay between 1.93 and its current price of 1.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seafco Public has a beta of -17.47. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Seafco Public are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Seafco Public is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Seafco Public has an alpha of 16.1484, implying that it can generate a 16.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Seafco Public Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Seafco Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seafco Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seafco Public's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Seafco Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seafco Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seafco Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seafco Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seafco Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 16.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -17.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Seafco Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seafco Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seafco Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Seafco Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Seafco Public may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Seafco Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (56.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.13 M. | |
| About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Seafco Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seafco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seafco Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seafco Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 739.7 M |
Seafco Public Technical Analysis
Seafco Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seafco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seafco Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seafco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seafco Public Predictive Forecast Models
Seafco Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seafco Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seafco Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Seafco Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Seafco Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seafco Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Seafco Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Seafco Public may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Seafco Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (56.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.13 M. | |
| About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Seafco Stock
Seafco Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seafco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seafco with respect to the benefits of owning Seafco Public security.