Skandinaviska Enskilda (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.59
| SEBA Stock | EUR 13.07 0.06 0.46% |
Skandinaviska |
Skandinaviska Enskilda Target Price Odds to finish below 11.59
The tendency of Skandinaviska Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 11.59 or more in 90 days |
| 13.07 | 90 days | 11.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Skandinaviska Enskilda to drop to € 11.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken probability density function shows the probability of Skandinaviska Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Skandinaviska Enskilda price to stay between € 11.59 and its current price of €13.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Skandinaviska Enskilda has a beta of 0.31. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Skandinaviska Enskilda average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Skandinaviska Enskilda Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Skandinaviska Enskilda
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skandinaviska Enskilda. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Skandinaviska Enskilda Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Skandinaviska Enskilda is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Skandinaviska Enskilda's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Skandinaviska Enskilda within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Skandinaviska Enskilda Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Skandinaviska Enskilda for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Skandinaviska Enskilda can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Skandinaviska Enskilda generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken has accumulated about 57.65 B in cash with (70.17 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 26.65, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Skandinaviska Enskilda Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Skandinaviska Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Skandinaviska Enskilda's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skandinaviska Enskilda's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Skandinaviska Enskilda Technical Analysis
Skandinaviska Enskilda's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Skandinaviska Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken. In general, you should focus on analyzing Skandinaviska Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Skandinaviska Enskilda Predictive Forecast Models
Skandinaviska Enskilda's time-series forecasting models is one of many Skandinaviska Enskilda's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Skandinaviska Enskilda's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Skandinaviska Enskilda
Checking the ongoing alerts about Skandinaviska Enskilda for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Skandinaviska Enskilda help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Skandinaviska Enskilda generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken has accumulated about 57.65 B in cash with (70.17 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 26.65, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Skandinaviska Stock
Skandinaviska Enskilda financial ratios help investors to determine whether Skandinaviska Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Skandinaviska with respect to the benefits of owning Skandinaviska Enskilda security.