Soditech (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.2375

SEC Stock  EUR 1.25  0.00  0.00%   
Soditech's future price is the expected price of Soditech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Soditech SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Soditech Backtesting, Soditech Valuation, Soditech Correlation, Soditech Hype Analysis, Soditech Volatility, Soditech History as well as Soditech Performance.
  
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Soditech Target Price Odds to finish over 1.2375

The tendency of Soditech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 1.24  in 90 days
 1.25 90 days 1.24 
about 75.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Soditech to stay above € 1.24  in 90 days from now is about 75.55 (This Soditech SA probability density function shows the probability of Soditech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Soditech SA price to stay between € 1.24  and its current price of €1.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Soditech SA has a beta of -0.52. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Soditech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Soditech SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Soditech SA has an alpha of 0.0947, implying that it can generate a 0.0947 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Soditech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Soditech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Soditech SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.254.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.024.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.244.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.251.251.25
Details

Soditech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Soditech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Soditech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Soditech SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Soditech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Soditech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Soditech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Soditech SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Soditech SA may become a speculative penny stock
Soditech SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Soditech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Soditech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Soditech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Soditech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments745.1 K

Soditech Technical Analysis

Soditech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Soditech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Soditech SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Soditech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Soditech Predictive Forecast Models

Soditech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Soditech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Soditech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Soditech SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Soditech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Soditech SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Soditech SA may become a speculative penny stock
Soditech SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Soditech Stock

Soditech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Soditech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Soditech with respect to the benefits of owning Soditech security.