Siit Equity Factor Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 15.63

SEHAX Fund  USD 15.99  0.06  0.37%   
Siit Equity's future price is the expected price of Siit Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Siit Equity Factor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Siit Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Siit Equity Correlation, Siit Equity Hype Analysis, Siit Equity Volatility, Siit Equity History as well as Siit Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Siit Equity's target price for which you would like Siit Equity odds to be computed.

Siit Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 15.63

The tendency of Siit Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.63  or more in 90 days
 15.99 90 days 15.63 
about 71.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Siit Equity to drop to $ 15.63  or more in 90 days from now is about 71.15 (This Siit Equity Factor probability density function shows the probability of Siit Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Siit Equity Factor price to stay between $ 15.63  and its current price of $15.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Siit Equity has a beta of 0.84. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Siit Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Siit Equity Factor will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Siit Equity Factor has an alpha of 0.0722, implying that it can generate a 0.0722 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Siit Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Siit Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siit Equity Factor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3115.9916.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5716.2516.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.2415.9116.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.9315.7116.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Siit Equity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Siit Equity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Siit Equity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Siit Equity Factor.

Siit Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Siit Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Siit Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Siit Equity Factor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Siit Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Siit Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Siit Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Siit Equity Factor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.94% of its assets in stocks

Siit Equity Technical Analysis

Siit Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Siit Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Siit Equity Factor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Siit Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Siit Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Siit Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Siit Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Siit Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Siit Equity Factor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Siit Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Siit Equity Factor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.94% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Siit Mutual Fund

Siit Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siit Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siit with respect to the benefits of owning Siit Equity security.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments