Seek (Australia) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.94

SEK Stock   26.29  0.17  0.65%   
Seek's future price is the expected price of Seek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seek performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Seek Backtesting, Seek Valuation, Seek Correlation, Seek Hype Analysis, Seek Volatility, Seek History as well as Seek Performance.
  
Please specify Seek's target price for which you would like Seek odds to be computed.

Seek Target Price Odds to finish below 24.94

The tendency of Seek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  24.94  or more in 90 days
 26.29 90 days 24.94 
about 60.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seek to drop to  24.94  or more in 90 days from now is about 60.11 (This Seek probability density function shows the probability of Seek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seek price to stay between  24.94  and its current price of 26.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seek has a beta of -0.0356. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Seek are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Seek is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Seek has an alpha of 0.213, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Seek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seek. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.8326.2927.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9721.4328.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.4725.9327.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.140.16
Details

Seek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seek, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Seek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seek can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 1.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (100.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 774 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Advance Plans to Borrow Against 1.2 Billion Reddit Stake - Yahoo Finance

Seek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding355.6 M

Seek Technical Analysis

Seek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seek. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seek Predictive Forecast Models

Seek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seek's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seek

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seek help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 1.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (100.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 774 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Advance Plans to Borrow Against 1.2 Billion Reddit Stake - Yahoo Finance

Additional Tools for Seek Stock Analysis

When running Seek's price analysis, check to measure Seek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seek is operating at the current time. Most of Seek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.