Selena FM (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.5
| SEL Stock | 28.70 0.40 1.37% |
Selena |
Selena FM Target Price Odds to finish over 30.5
The tendency of Selena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 30.50 or more in 90 days |
| 28.70 | 90 days | 30.50 | about 91.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Selena FM to move over 30.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.37 (This Selena FM SA probability density function shows the probability of Selena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Selena FM SA price to stay between its current price of 28.70 and 30.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Selena FM SA has a beta of -0.34. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Selena FM are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Selena FM SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Selena FM SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Selena FM Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Selena FM
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Selena FM SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Selena FM's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Selena FM Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Selena FM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Selena FM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Selena FM SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Selena FM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Selena FM Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Selena FM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Selena FM SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Selena FM SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Selena FM Technical Analysis
Selena FM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Selena Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Selena FM SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Selena Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Selena FM Predictive Forecast Models
Selena FM's time-series forecasting models is one of many Selena FM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Selena FM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Selena FM SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Selena FM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Selena FM SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Selena FM SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Selena Stock Analysis
When running Selena FM's price analysis, check to measure Selena FM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Selena FM is operating at the current time. Most of Selena FM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Selena FM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Selena FM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Selena FM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.