Selcuk Ecza (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 80.35
| SELEC Stock | TRY 79.90 0.45 0.56% |
Selcuk |
Selcuk Ecza Target Price Odds to finish below 80.35
The tendency of Selcuk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 80.35 after 90 days |
| 79.90 | 90 days | 80.35 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Selcuk Ecza to stay under 80.35 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Selcuk Ecza Deposu probability density function shows the probability of Selcuk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Selcuk Ecza Deposu price to stay between its current price of 79.90 and 80.35 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Selcuk Ecza Deposu has a beta of -0.83. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Selcuk Ecza are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Selcuk Ecza Deposu is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Selcuk Ecza Deposu has an alpha of 0.8671, implying that it can generate a 0.87 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Selcuk Ecza Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Selcuk Ecza
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Selcuk Ecza Deposu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Selcuk Ecza's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Selcuk Ecza Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Selcuk Ecza is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Selcuk Ecza's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Selcuk Ecza Deposu, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Selcuk Ecza within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Selcuk Ecza Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Selcuk Ecza for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Selcuk Ecza Deposu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Selcuk Ecza Deposu appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Selcuk Ecza Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Selcuk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Selcuk Ecza's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Selcuk Ecza's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 621 M |
Selcuk Ecza Technical Analysis
Selcuk Ecza's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Selcuk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Selcuk Ecza Deposu. In general, you should focus on analyzing Selcuk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Selcuk Ecza Predictive Forecast Models
Selcuk Ecza's time-series forecasting models is one of many Selcuk Ecza's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Selcuk Ecza's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Selcuk Ecza Deposu
Checking the ongoing alerts about Selcuk Ecza for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Selcuk Ecza Deposu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Selcuk Ecza Deposu appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Selcuk Stock
Selcuk Ecza financial ratios help investors to determine whether Selcuk Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Selcuk with respect to the benefits of owning Selcuk Ecza security.