Allianzim Equity Buffer15 Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 26.13
| SEPU Etf | 26.19 0.12 0.46% |
AllianzIM |
AllianzIM Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 26.13
The tendency of AllianzIM Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 26.13 or more in 90 days |
| 26.19 | 90 days | 26.13 | about 90.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AllianzIM Equity to drop to 26.13 or more in 90 days from now is about 90.99 (This AllianzIM Equity Buffer15 probability density function shows the probability of AllianzIM Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AllianzIM Equity Buffer15 price to stay between 26.13 and its current price of 26.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.83 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AllianzIM Equity has a beta of 0.54. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, AllianzIM Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AllianzIM Equity Buffer15 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AllianzIM Equity Buffer15 has an alpha of 0.029, implying that it can generate a 0.029 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AllianzIM Equity Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AllianzIM Equity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AllianzIM Equity Buffer15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AllianzIM Equity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AllianzIM Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AllianzIM Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AllianzIM Equity Buffer15, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AllianzIM Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
AllianzIM Equity Technical Analysis
AllianzIM Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AllianzIM Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AllianzIM Equity Buffer15. In general, you should focus on analyzing AllianzIM Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AllianzIM Equity Predictive Forecast Models
AllianzIM Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many AllianzIM Equity's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AllianzIM Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AllianzIM Equity in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AllianzIM Equity's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AllianzIM Equity options trading.
Check out AllianzIM Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, AllianzIM Equity Correlation, AllianzIM Equity Hype Analysis, AllianzIM Equity Volatility, AllianzIM Equity History as well as AllianzIM Equity Performance. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
The market value of AllianzIM Equity Buffer15 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AllianzIM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AllianzIM Equity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AllianzIM Equity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AllianzIM Equity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AllianzIM Equity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AllianzIM Equity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AllianzIM Equity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AllianzIM Equity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.