Sequana Medical (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.98

SEQUA Stock   0.78  0.01  1.27%   
Sequana Medical's future price is the expected price of Sequana Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sequana Medical NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sequana Medical Backtesting, Sequana Medical Valuation, Sequana Medical Correlation, Sequana Medical Hype Analysis, Sequana Medical Volatility, Sequana Medical History as well as Sequana Medical Performance.
  
Please specify Sequana Medical's target price for which you would like Sequana Medical odds to be computed.

Sequana Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 25.98

The tendency of Sequana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  25.98  or more in 90 days
 0.78 90 days 25.98 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sequana Medical to move over  25.98  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Sequana Medical NV probability density function shows the probability of Sequana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sequana Medical NV price to stay between its current price of  0.78  and  25.98  at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sequana Medical has a beta of 0.19. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sequana Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sequana Medical NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sequana Medical NV has an alpha of 0.0011, implying that it can generate a 0.001096 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sequana Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sequana Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sequana Medical NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.789.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.669.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.859.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.760.860.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sequana Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sequana Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sequana Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sequana Medical NV.

Sequana Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sequana Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sequana Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sequana Medical NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sequana Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Sequana Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sequana Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sequana Medical NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sequana Medical NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sequana Medical NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 370.5 K. Net Loss for the year was (23.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 718 K.
Sequana Medical generates negative cash flow from operations
About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sequana Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sequana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sequana Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sequana Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.6 M

Sequana Medical Technical Analysis

Sequana Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sequana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sequana Medical NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sequana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sequana Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Sequana Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sequana Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sequana Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sequana Medical NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sequana Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sequana Medical NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sequana Medical NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sequana Medical NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 370.5 K. Net Loss for the year was (23.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 718 K.
Sequana Medical generates negative cash flow from operations
About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sequana Stock

Sequana Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sequana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sequana with respect to the benefits of owning Sequana Medical security.