Stillfront Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.67
| SF Stock | SEK 6.65 0.03 0.45% |
Stillfront |
Stillfront Group Target Price Odds to finish below 6.67
The tendency of Stillfront Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under kr 6.67 after 90 days |
| 6.65 | 90 days | 6.67 | about 32.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stillfront Group to stay under kr 6.67 after 90 days from now is about 32.66 (This Stillfront Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Stillfront Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stillfront Group price to stay between its current price of kr 6.65 and kr 6.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stillfront Group AB has a beta of -0.83. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Stillfront Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Stillfront Group AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Stillfront Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Stillfront Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stillfront Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stillfront Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stillfront Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stillfront Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stillfront Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stillfront Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stillfront Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stillfront Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Stillfront Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stillfront Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stillfront Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stillfront Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stillfront Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Stillfront Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stillfront Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stillfront Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stillfront Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 413.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Stillfront Group Technical Analysis
Stillfront Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stillfront Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stillfront Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stillfront Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stillfront Group Predictive Forecast Models
Stillfront Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stillfront Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stillfront Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stillfront Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stillfront Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stillfront Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stillfront Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stillfront Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Additional Tools for Stillfront Stock Analysis
When running Stillfront Group's price analysis, check to measure Stillfront Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stillfront Group is operating at the current time. Most of Stillfront Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stillfront Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stillfront Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stillfront Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.