Servisfirst Bancshares Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 48.72
| SFBS Stock | USD 95.90 1.27 1.34% |
ServisFirst |
ServisFirst Bancshares Target Price Odds to finish over 48.72
The tendency of ServisFirst Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 48.72 in 90 days |
| 95.90 | 90 days | 48.72 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ServisFirst Bancshares to stay above $ 48.72 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ServisFirst Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of ServisFirst Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ServisFirst Bancshares price to stay between $ 48.72 and its current price of $95.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.48 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ServisFirst Bancshares will likely underperform. Additionally ServisFirst Bancshares has an alpha of 0.056, implying that it can generate a 0.056 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ServisFirst Bancshares Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ServisFirst Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ServisFirst Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ServisFirst Bancshares Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ServisFirst Bancshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ServisFirst Bancshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ServisFirst Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ServisFirst Bancshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
ServisFirst Bancshares Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ServisFirst Bancshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ServisFirst Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ServisFirst Bancshares has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: ServisFirst Bank expands, opens new office |
ServisFirst Bancshares Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ServisFirst Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ServisFirst Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ServisFirst Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
ServisFirst Bancshares Technical Analysis
ServisFirst Bancshares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ServisFirst Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ServisFirst Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing ServisFirst Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ServisFirst Bancshares Predictive Forecast Models
ServisFirst Bancshares' time-series forecasting models is one of many ServisFirst Bancshares' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ServisFirst Bancshares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ServisFirst Bancshares
Checking the ongoing alerts about ServisFirst Bancshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ServisFirst Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ServisFirst Bancshares has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: ServisFirst Bank expands, opens new office |
Additional Tools for ServisFirst Stock Analysis
When running ServisFirst Bancshares' price analysis, check to measure ServisFirst Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ServisFirst Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of ServisFirst Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ServisFirst Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ServisFirst Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ServisFirst Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.