Soc Franc (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.71

SFCA Stock  EUR 1.72  0.10  5.49%   
Soc Franc's future price is the expected price of Soc Franc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Soc Franc Casinos performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Soc Franc Backtesting, Soc Franc Valuation, Soc Franc Correlation, Soc Franc Hype Analysis, Soc Franc Volatility, Soc Franc History as well as Soc Franc Performance.
  
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Soc Franc Target Price Odds to finish over 1.71

The tendency of Soc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 1.71  in 90 days
 1.72 90 days 1.71 
about 16.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Soc Franc to stay above € 1.71  in 90 days from now is about 16.5 (This Soc Franc Casinos probability density function shows the probability of Soc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Soc Franc Casinos price to stay between € 1.71  and its current price of €1.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Soc Franc Casinos has a beta of -0.29. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Soc Franc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Soc Franc Casinos is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Soc Franc Casinos has an alpha of 0.0716, implying that it can generate a 0.0716 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Soc Franc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Soc Franc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Soc Franc Casinos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.391.723.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.432.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.401.733.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.721.721.72
Details

Soc Franc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Soc Franc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Soc Franc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Soc Franc Casinos, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Soc Franc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Soc Franc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Soc Franc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Soc Franc Casinos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Soc Franc Casinos may become a speculative penny stock
Soc Franc Casinos has accumulated 4.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 39.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Soc Franc Casinos has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Soc Franc until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Soc Franc's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Soc Franc Casinos sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Soc to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Soc Franc's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 7.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (659 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.4 M.
About 96.0% of Soc Franc outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Soc Franc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Soc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Soc Franc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Soc Franc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.9 M

Soc Franc Technical Analysis

Soc Franc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Soc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Soc Franc Casinos. In general, you should focus on analyzing Soc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Soc Franc Predictive Forecast Models

Soc Franc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Soc Franc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Soc Franc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Soc Franc Casinos

Checking the ongoing alerts about Soc Franc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Soc Franc Casinos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Soc Franc Casinos may become a speculative penny stock
Soc Franc Casinos has accumulated 4.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 39.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Soc Franc Casinos has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Soc Franc until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Soc Franc's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Soc Franc Casinos sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Soc to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Soc Franc's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 7.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (659 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.4 M.
About 96.0% of Soc Franc outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Soc Stock

Soc Franc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Soc Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Soc with respect to the benefits of owning Soc Franc security.