Shenkman Floating Rate Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.31

SFHIX Fund  USD 9.17  0.05  0.54%   
Shenkman Floating's future price is the expected price of Shenkman Floating instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shenkman Floating Rate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shenkman Floating Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Shenkman Floating Correlation, Shenkman Floating Hype Analysis, Shenkman Floating Volatility, Shenkman Floating History as well as Shenkman Floating Performance.
  
Please specify Shenkman Floating's target price for which you would like Shenkman Floating odds to be computed.

Shenkman Floating Target Price Odds to finish over 9.31

The tendency of Shenkman Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.31  or more in 90 days
 9.17 90 days 9.31 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shenkman Floating to move over $ 9.31  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Shenkman Floating Rate probability density function shows the probability of Shenkman Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shenkman Floating Rate price to stay between its current price of $ 9.17  and $ 9.31  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.8 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Shenkman Floating has a beta of 0.0034. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Shenkman Floating average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shenkman Floating Rate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shenkman Floating Rate has an alpha of 0.0129, implying that it can generate a 0.0129 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shenkman Floating Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shenkman Floating

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenkman Floating Rate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.079.179.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.259.9410.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.119.219.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.169.209.23
Details

Shenkman Floating Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shenkman Floating is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shenkman Floating's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shenkman Floating Rate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shenkman Floating within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -1.21

Shenkman Floating Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shenkman Floating for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shenkman Floating Rate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.94% of its assets in bonds

Shenkman Floating Technical Analysis

Shenkman Floating's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shenkman Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shenkman Floating Rate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shenkman Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shenkman Floating Predictive Forecast Models

Shenkman Floating's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shenkman Floating's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shenkman Floating's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shenkman Floating Rate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shenkman Floating for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shenkman Floating Rate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.94% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Shenkman Mutual Fund

Shenkman Floating financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenkman Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenkman with respect to the benefits of owning Shenkman Floating security.
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