Sandfire Resources (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.3
| SFR Stock | 10.27 0.06 0.59% |
Sandfire |
Sandfire Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 11.3
The tendency of Sandfire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 11.30 or more in 90 days |
| 10.27 | 90 days | 11.30 | about 6.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sandfire Resources to move over 11.30 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.89 (This Sandfire Resources NL probability density function shows the probability of Sandfire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sandfire Resources price to stay between its current price of 10.27 and 11.30 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sandfire Resources has a beta of 0.33. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sandfire Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sandfire Resources NL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sandfire Resources NL has an alpha of 0.1885, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sandfire Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sandfire Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sandfire Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sandfire Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sandfire Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sandfire Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sandfire Resources NL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sandfire Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Sandfire Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sandfire Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sandfire Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 921.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 454.6 M. | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Sandfire Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sandfire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sandfire Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sandfire Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 457 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 274.5 M |
Sandfire Resources Technical Analysis
Sandfire Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sandfire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sandfire Resources NL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sandfire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sandfire Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Sandfire Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sandfire Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sandfire Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sandfire Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sandfire Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sandfire Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 921.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 454.6 M. | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Sandfire Stock Analysis
When running Sandfire Resources' price analysis, check to measure Sandfire Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sandfire Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Sandfire Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sandfire Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sandfire Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sandfire Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.