Softbank Group Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 51.57

SFTBF Stock  USD 57.25  3.26  6.04%   
Softbank Group's future price is the expected price of Softbank Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Softbank Group Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Softbank Group Backtesting, Softbank Group Valuation, Softbank Group Correlation, Softbank Group Hype Analysis, Softbank Group Volatility, Softbank Group History as well as Softbank Group Performance.
  
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Softbank Group Target Price Odds to finish below 51.57

The tendency of Softbank Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 51.57  or more in 90 days
 57.25 90 days 51.57 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Softbank Group to drop to $ 51.57  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Softbank Group Corp probability density function shows the probability of Softbank Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Softbank Group Corp price to stay between $ 51.57  and its current price of $57.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Softbank Group Corp has a beta of -0.24. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Softbank Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Softbank Group Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Softbank Group Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Softbank Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Softbank Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Softbank Group Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.0057.2560.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.6347.8862.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.4252.6855.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
52.2356.9761.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Softbank Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Softbank Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Softbank Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Softbank Group Corp.

Softbank Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Softbank Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Softbank Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Softbank Group Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Softbank Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
2.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Softbank Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Softbank Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Softbank Group Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Softbank Group Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Softbank Group Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Softbank Group Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Softbank Group Corp has accumulated 14.13 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.34, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Softbank Group Corp has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Softbank Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Softbank Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Softbank Group Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Softbank to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Softbank Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 6.22 T. Net Loss for the year was (1.71 T) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.27 T.
About 30.0% of Softbank Group outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Softbank Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Softbank Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Softbank Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Softbank Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B

Softbank Group Technical Analysis

Softbank Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Softbank Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Softbank Group Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Softbank Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Softbank Group Predictive Forecast Models

Softbank Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Softbank Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Softbank Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Softbank Group Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Softbank Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Softbank Group Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Softbank Group Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Softbank Group Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Softbank Group Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Softbank Group Corp has accumulated 14.13 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.34, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Softbank Group Corp has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Softbank Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Softbank Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Softbank Group Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Softbank to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Softbank Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 6.22 T. Net Loss for the year was (1.71 T) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.27 T.
About 30.0% of Softbank Group outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Softbank Pink Sheet

Softbank Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Softbank Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Softbank with respect to the benefits of owning Softbank Group security.