Ses Sa Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.6

SGBAF Stock  USD 3.41  0.07  2.01%   
SES SA's future price is the expected price of SES SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SES SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SES SA Backtesting, SES SA Valuation, SES SA Correlation, SES SA Hype Analysis, SES SA Volatility, SES SA History as well as SES SA Performance.
  
Please specify SES SA's target price for which you would like SES SA odds to be computed.

SES SA Target Price Odds to finish below 3.6

The tendency of SES Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 3.60  after 90 days
 3.41 90 days 3.60 
about 14.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SES SA to stay under $ 3.60  after 90 days from now is about 14.55 (This SES SA probability density function shows the probability of SES Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SES SA price to stay between its current price of $ 3.41  and $ 3.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.04 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SES SA has a beta of -0.56. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SES SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SES SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SES SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SES SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SES SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SES SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.418.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.308.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SES SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SES SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SES SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SES SA.

SES SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SES SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SES SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SES SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SES SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.56
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

SES SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SES SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SES SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SES SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SES SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance

SES SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SES Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SES SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SES SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding555.4 M

SES SA Technical Analysis

SES SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SES Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SES SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing SES Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SES SA Predictive Forecast Models

SES SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many SES SA's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SES SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SES SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about SES SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SES SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SES SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SES SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in SES Pink Sheet

SES SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether SES Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SES with respect to the benefits of owning SES SA security.