Sg Blocks Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.54
| SGBX Stock | USD 0.52 0.01 1.96% |
SGBX |
SG Blocks Target Price Odds to finish below 0.54
The tendency of SGBX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.54 after 90 days |
| 0.52 | 90 days | 0.54 | roughly 2.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SG Blocks to stay under $ 0.54 after 90 days from now is roughly 2.52 (This SG Blocks probability density function shows the probability of SGBX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SG Blocks price to stay between its current price of $ 0.52 and $ 0.54 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SG Blocks will likely underperform. Additionally SG Blocks has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SG Blocks Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SG Blocks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SG Blocks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SG Blocks Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SG Blocks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SG Blocks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SG Blocks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SG Blocks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.9 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
SG Blocks Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SG Blocks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SG Blocks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SG Blocks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SG Blocks has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SG Blocks has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SG Blocks has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.33 M. | |
| SG Blocks currently holds about 2.43 M in cash with (7.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
| SG Blocks has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SG Blocks stock plunges to 52-week low of 0.68 amid market challenges - Investing.com |
SG Blocks Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SGBX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SG Blocks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SG Blocks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 772.3 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.4 K |
SG Blocks Technical Analysis
SG Blocks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SGBX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SG Blocks. In general, you should focus on analyzing SGBX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SG Blocks Predictive Forecast Models
SG Blocks' time-series forecasting models is one of many SG Blocks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SG Blocks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SG Blocks
Checking the ongoing alerts about SG Blocks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SG Blocks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SG Blocks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SG Blocks has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SG Blocks has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SG Blocks has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.33 M. | |
| SG Blocks currently holds about 2.43 M in cash with (7.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
| SG Blocks has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SG Blocks stock plunges to 52-week low of 0.68 amid market challenges - Investing.com |
Additional Tools for SGBX Stock Analysis
When running SG Blocks' price analysis, check to measure SG Blocks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SG Blocks is operating at the current time. Most of SG Blocks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SG Blocks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SG Blocks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SG Blocks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.