Seagen Inc Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 193.49

SGENDelisted Stock  USD 196.23  2.04  1.05%   
Seagen's future price is the expected price of Seagen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seagen Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
  
Please specify Seagen's target price for which you would like Seagen odds to be computed.

Seagen Target Price Odds to finish over 193.49

The tendency of Seagen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 193.49  in 90 days
 196.23 90 days 193.49 
about 83.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seagen to stay above $ 193.49  in 90 days from now is about 83.7 (This Seagen Inc probability density function shows the probability of Seagen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seagen Inc price to stay between $ 193.49  and its current price of $196.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.17 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Seagen Inc has a beta of -0.22. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Seagen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Seagen Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Seagen Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Seagen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seagen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seagen Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seagen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
196.23196.23196.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
165.93165.93215.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
199.34199.34199.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
192.83195.81198.79
Details

Seagen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seagen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seagen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seagen Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seagen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
3.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Seagen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seagen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seagen Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seagen Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Seagen Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.96 B. Net Loss for the year was (610.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 207.99 M.
Seagen Inc currently holds about 1.85 B in cash with (453.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.03.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Seagen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seagen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seagen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seagen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding184.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.7 B

Seagen Technical Analysis

Seagen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seagen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seagen Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seagen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seagen Predictive Forecast Models

Seagen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seagen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seagen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seagen Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seagen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seagen Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seagen Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Seagen Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.96 B. Net Loss for the year was (610.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 207.99 M.
Seagen Inc currently holds about 1.85 B in cash with (453.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.03.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Other Consideration for investing in Seagen Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Seagen Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Seagen's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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