St Galler (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 464.20
| SGKN Stock | CHF 425.50 1.50 0.35% |
SGKN |
St Galler Target Price Odds to finish over 464.20
The tendency of SGKN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over ₣ 464.20 or more in 90 days |
| 425.50 | 90 days | 464.20 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of St Galler to move over ₣ 464.20 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This St Galler Kantonalbank probability density function shows the probability of SGKN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of St Galler Kantonalbank price to stay between its current price of ₣ 425.50 and ₣ 464.20 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon St Galler has a beta of 0.0116. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, St Galler average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding St Galler Kantonalbank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally St Galler Kantonalbank has an alpha of 0.0182, implying that it can generate a 0.0182 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). St Galler Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for St Galler
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as St Galler Kantonalbank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.St Galler Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. St Galler is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the St Galler's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold St Galler Kantonalbank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of St Galler within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
St Galler Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of St Galler for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for St Galler Kantonalbank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
St Galler Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SGKN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential St Galler's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. St Galler's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 B |
St Galler Technical Analysis
St Galler's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SGKN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of St Galler Kantonalbank. In general, you should focus on analyzing SGKN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
St Galler Predictive Forecast Models
St Galler's time-series forecasting models is one of many St Galler's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary St Galler's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about St Galler Kantonalbank
Checking the ongoing alerts about St Galler for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for St Galler Kantonalbank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for SGKN Stock Analysis
When running St Galler's price analysis, check to measure St Galler's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy St Galler is operating at the current time. Most of St Galler's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of St Galler's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move St Galler's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of St Galler to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.