Invesco Physical (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 242.58
| SGLD Stock | EUR 240.68 5.86 2.38% |
Invesco |
Invesco Physical Target Price Odds to finish below 242.58
The tendency of Invesco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 242.58 after 90 days |
| 240.68 | 90 days | 242.58 | about 79.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Physical to stay under € 242.58 after 90 days from now is about 79.97 (This Invesco Physical Gold probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Physical Gold price to stay between its current price of € 240.68 and € 242.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Invesco Physical has a beta of 0.13. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Invesco Physical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Physical Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Physical Gold has an alpha of 0.1258, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Invesco Physical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invesco Physical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Physical Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Invesco Physical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Physical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Physical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Physical Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Physical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Invesco Physical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco Physical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Physical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 161 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 2.95k |
Invesco Physical Technical Analysis
Invesco Physical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Physical Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco Physical Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco Physical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Physical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Physical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Invesco Physical in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Invesco Physical's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Invesco Physical options trading.
Additional Tools for Invesco Stock Analysis
When running Invesco Physical's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Physical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Physical is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Physical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Physical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Physical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Physical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.