Summit Global Investments Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 39.72

SGLIX Fund  USD 40.49  0.03  0.07%   
Summit Global's future price is the expected price of Summit Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Summit Global Investments performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Summit Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Summit Global Correlation, Summit Global Hype Analysis, Summit Global Volatility, Summit Global History as well as Summit Global Performance.
  
Please specify Summit Global's target price for which you would like Summit Global odds to be computed.

Summit Global Target Price Odds to finish below 39.72

The tendency of Summit Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 39.72  or more in 90 days
 40.49 90 days 39.72 
about 32.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Summit Global to drop to $ 39.72  or more in 90 days from now is about 32.13 (This Summit Global Investments probability density function shows the probability of Summit Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Summit Global Investments price to stay between $ 39.72  and its current price of $40.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.46 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Summit Global has a beta of 0.59. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Summit Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Summit Global Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Summit Global Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Summit Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Summit Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Summit Global Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.9740.4941.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.7840.3040.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.2340.7541.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.2640.0840.90
Details

Summit Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Summit Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Summit Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Summit Global Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Summit Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Summit Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Summit Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Summit Global Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.16% of its assets in stocks

Summit Global Technical Analysis

Summit Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Summit Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Summit Global Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Summit Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Summit Global Predictive Forecast Models

Summit Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Summit Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Summit Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Summit Global Investments

Checking the ongoing alerts about Summit Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Summit Global Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.16% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Summit Mutual Fund

Summit Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Summit Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Summit with respect to the benefits of owning Summit Global security.
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