Sgi Prudent Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.72

SGPGX Fund  USD 12.15  0.07  0.57%   
Sgi Prudent's future price is the expected price of Sgi Prudent instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sgi Prudent Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sgi Prudent Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sgi Prudent Correlation, Sgi Prudent Hype Analysis, Sgi Prudent Volatility, Sgi Prudent History as well as Sgi Prudent Performance.
  
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Sgi Prudent Target Price Odds to finish below 11.72

The tendency of Sgi Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.72  or more in 90 days
 12.15 90 days 11.72 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sgi Prudent to drop to $ 11.72  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Sgi Prudent Growth probability density function shows the probability of Sgi Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sgi Prudent Growth price to stay between $ 11.72  and its current price of $12.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sgi Prudent has a beta of 0.13. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sgi Prudent average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sgi Prudent Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sgi Prudent Growth has an alpha of 0.039, implying that it can generate a 0.039 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sgi Prudent Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sgi Prudent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sgi Prudent Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6912.1512.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6512.1112.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6312.1012.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.0112.1812.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sgi Prudent. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sgi Prudent's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sgi Prudent's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sgi Prudent Growth.

Sgi Prudent Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sgi Prudent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sgi Prudent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sgi Prudent Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sgi Prudent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Sgi Prudent Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sgi Prudent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sgi Prudent Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 5.81% of its assets in cash

Sgi Prudent Technical Analysis

Sgi Prudent's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sgi Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sgi Prudent Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sgi Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sgi Prudent Predictive Forecast Models

Sgi Prudent's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sgi Prudent's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sgi Prudent's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sgi Prudent Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sgi Prudent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sgi Prudent Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 5.81% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Sgi Mutual Fund

Sgi Prudent financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sgi Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sgi with respect to the benefits of owning Sgi Prudent security.
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