SGS SA (Switzerland) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 86.84
| SGSN Stock | CHF 86.72 0.80 0.93% |
SGS |
SGS SA Target Price Odds to finish below 86.84
The tendency of SGS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under ₣ 86.84 after 90 days |
| 86.72 | 90 days | 86.84 | roughly 2.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SGS SA to stay under ₣ 86.84 after 90 days from now is roughly 2.13 (This SGS SA probability density function shows the probability of SGS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SGS SA price to stay between its current price of ₣ 86.72 and ₣ 86.84 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SGS SA has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SGS SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SGS SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SGS SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SGS SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SGS SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SGS SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SGS SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SGS SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SGS SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SGS SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SGS SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
SGS SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SGS SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SGS SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SGS SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
SGS SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SGS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SGS SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SGS SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
SGS SA Technical Analysis
SGS SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SGS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SGS SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing SGS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SGS SA Predictive Forecast Models
SGS SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many SGS SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SGS SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SGS SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about SGS SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SGS SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SGS SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for SGS Stock Analysis
When running SGS SA's price analysis, check to measure SGS SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SGS SA is operating at the current time. Most of SGS SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SGS SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SGS SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SGS SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.