Saigon Telecommunicatio (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14700.0

SGT Stock   15,100  50.00  0.33%   
Saigon Telecommunicatio's future price is the expected price of Saigon Telecommunicatio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Saigon Telecommunication Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Saigon Telecommunicatio Backtesting, Saigon Telecommunicatio Valuation, Saigon Telecommunicatio Correlation, Saigon Telecommunicatio Hype Analysis, Saigon Telecommunicatio Volatility, Saigon Telecommunicatio History as well as Saigon Telecommunicatio Performance.
  
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Saigon Telecommunicatio Target Price Odds to finish over 14700.0

The tendency of Saigon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  14,700  in 90 days
 15,100 90 days 14,700 
about 65.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saigon Telecommunicatio to stay above  14,700  in 90 days from now is about 65.33 (This Saigon Telecommunication Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Saigon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saigon Telecommunicatio price to stay between  14,700  and its current price of 15100.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saigon Telecommunicatio has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Saigon Telecommunicatio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Saigon Telecommunication Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Saigon Telecommunication Technologies has an alpha of 0.1335, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Saigon Telecommunicatio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Saigon Telecommunicatio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saigon Telecommunicatio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15,04915,05015,051
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15,01115,01216,555
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14,89914,90014,902
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14,46015,09015,721
Details

Saigon Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saigon Telecommunicatio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saigon Telecommunicatio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saigon Telecommunication Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saigon Telecommunicatio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
449.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Saigon Telecommunicatio Technical Analysis

Saigon Telecommunicatio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saigon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saigon Telecommunication Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saigon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Saigon Telecommunicatio Predictive Forecast Models

Saigon Telecommunicatio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saigon Telecommunicatio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saigon Telecommunicatio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Saigon Telecommunicatio in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Saigon Telecommunicatio's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Saigon Telecommunicatio options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Saigon Stock

Saigon Telecommunicatio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saigon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saigon with respect to the benefits of owning Saigon Telecommunicatio security.