National Storm Recovery Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.23
| SGTM Stock | USD 0.35 0.07 16.67% |
National |
National Storm Target Price Odds to finish over 0.23
The tendency of National Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.23 in 90 days |
| 0.35 | 90 days | 0.23 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Storm to stay above $ 0.23 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This National Storm Recovery probability density function shows the probability of National Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of National Storm Recovery price to stay between $ 0.23 and its current price of $0.35 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Storm Recovery has a beta of -3.6. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding National Storm Recovery are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, National Storm is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally National Storm Recovery has an alpha of 0.5166, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). National Storm Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for National Storm
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Storm Recovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Storm's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
National Storm Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Storm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Storm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Storm Recovery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Storm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.6 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0051 |
National Storm Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Storm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Storm Recovery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| National Storm had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| National Storm has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| National Storm has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| National Storm Recovery currently holds 1.08 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.15, which is about average as compared to similar companies. National Storm Recovery has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist National Storm until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National Storm's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National Storm Recovery sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National Storm's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 35.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (105.58 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 886.47 K. |
National Storm Technical Analysis
National Storm's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National Storm Recovery. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
National Storm Predictive Forecast Models
National Storm's time-series forecasting models is one of many National Storm's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National Storm's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about National Storm Recovery
Checking the ongoing alerts about National Storm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National Storm Recovery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| National Storm had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| National Storm has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| National Storm has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| National Storm Recovery currently holds 1.08 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.15, which is about average as compared to similar companies. National Storm Recovery has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist National Storm until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National Storm's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National Storm Recovery sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National Storm's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 35.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (105.58 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 886.47 K. |
Other Information on Investing in National Pink Sheet
National Storm financial ratios help investors to determine whether National Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in National with respect to the benefits of owning National Storm security.